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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+144/-189).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +161 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

With an elite 41.6% Route Participation Rate (77th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert has been among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Buffalo's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Raheem Mostert's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 86.3% to 83.3%.

The Bills pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus RBs this year (77.9%).

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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