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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

Raheem Mostert has run a route on 46.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (93.6%) to RBs this year (93.6%).

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

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