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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

This year, the feeble 49ers pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 89.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

Raheem Mostert has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (33.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.6%).

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.

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