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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • With an extraordinary 49.7% Route Participation% (84th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.
  • Raheem Mostert's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a meaningful boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the imposing Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a feeble 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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