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Raheem Mostert
NFL · Player Props
Raheem Mostert
RB · Miami Dolphins
Receptions
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Raheem Mostert Receptions

Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
  • With a remarkable 51.7% Route Participation Rate (86th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert ranks as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The model projects Raheem Mostert to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Raheem Mostert's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 80.0% to 86.7%.
Favors Under
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
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