My Account Log Out
 
 
Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Raheem Mostert has run a route on 52.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Raheem Mostert has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a mere 68.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™