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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

When talking about air yards, Raheem Mostert ranks in the towering 90th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a monstrous 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

Raheem Mostert's receiving efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 7.60 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.62 rate last year.

This year, the feeble 49ers pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 89.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

Raheem Mostert has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (33.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.6%).

Raheem Mostert's 4.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a remarkable diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 8.5% figure.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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