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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Raheem Mostert has posted a massive 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Raheem Mostert's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.62 rate last season.

This year, the porous Rams pass defense has been torched for a massive 94.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.

Raheem Mostert's 37.0% Route Participation Rate this year represents a meaningful reduction in his passing offense utilization over last year's 47.6% figure.

Raheem Mostert's 5.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys an impressive decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 8.5% mark.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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