Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
Raheem Mostert has run a route on 50.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an exceptional 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (75th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league.
Raheem Mostert's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.0% to 86.5%.
Raheem Mostert's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteworthy improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 5.6 mark.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

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