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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Raheem Mostert has run a route on 52.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • Raheem Mostert has accrued a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Raheem Mostert has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a mere 68.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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