My Account Log Out

reorder

Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 66.6% pass rate.

Raheem Mostert has run a route on 48.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.

The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (86.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (86.6%).

The New York Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.45 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

The New York Jets safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.77 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™