Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the league (44.0) to running backs since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (85%) to running backs since the start of last season (85.0%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, allowing 7.99 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 58.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.