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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to run on 40.7% of their downs: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Raheem Mostert has been much less involved in his team's run game this year (34.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.8%).

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