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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

While Raheem Mostert has garnered 55.5% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Miami's run game this week at 31.9%.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's group of DTs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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