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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • The 49ers safeties profile as the 24th-worst group of safeties in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Raheem Mostert has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this year (28.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.8%).

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