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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.

The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Raheem Mostert has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (34.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.8%).

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.

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