Raheem Mostert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Raheem Mostert to accrue 13.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Raheem Mostert has garnered 54.7% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 36.3% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

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