Raheem Mostert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Raheem Mostert to total 13.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Among all RBs, Raheem Mostert ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 52.4% of the workload in his team's running game.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles profile as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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