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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Buffalo's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.5 plays per game.
  • While Raheem Mostert has been responsible for 53.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Miami's rushing attack in this week's contest at 42.6%.

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