Raheem Mostert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to notch 12.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Raheem Mostert has garnered 52.3% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.8% run rate.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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