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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to notch 12.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
  • Raheem Mostert has garnered 52.3% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.8% run rate.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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