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Raheem Mostert

Raheem Mostert Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.

The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 40.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.

The predictive model expects Raheem Mostert to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this game (46.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.9% in games he has played).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Dallas's collection of DEs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Raheem Mostert Player Props

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