Raheem Mostert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Raheem Mostert

NFL · Player Props

Raheem Mostert

RB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Raheem Mostert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to accumulate 14.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Raheem Mostert has earned 61.7% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have gone for it on 4th down a measly 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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