Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive blueprint to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The model projects Rachaad White to garner 14.4 carries in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this season (55.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (33.7%).
Rachaad White has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

Favors Under

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 56.7 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.
With an atrocious record of 3.28 adjusted yards per carry (19th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places as one of the worst pure runners in the NFL at the position.

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