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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The predictive model expects Rachaad White to earn 14.1 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (56.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (33.7%).
  • Rachaad White has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
  • The Bills defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 5.22 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
  • When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in the league last year.

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