Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects Rachaad White to earn 14.1 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (56.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (33.7%).
Rachaad White has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
The Bills defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 5.22 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in the league last year.

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