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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • In this contest, Rachaad White is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 17.8 rush attempts.
  • Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (61.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.7%).
  • Rachaad White has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
  • With a lousy rate of 3.66 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) this year, Rachaad White ranks among the worst pure runners in the league at the position.

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