Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
In this contest, Rachaad White is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 17.8 rush attempts.
Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (61.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.7%).
Rachaad White has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

Favors Under

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
With a lousy rate of 3.66 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) this year, Rachaad White ranks among the worst pure runners in the league at the position.

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