Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
In this week's game, Rachaad White is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.6 rush attempts.
After taking on 33.7% of his team's rush attempts last season, Rachaad White has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, currently making up 59.4%.
Rachaad White's 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a significant growth in his running proficiency over last year's 30.0 figure.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league last year in run-blocking.
Rachaad White's running efficiency (3.63 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (17th percentile when it comes to running backs).

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