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Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-105/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).The model projects Rachaad White to earn 14.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.After accounting for 33.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Rachaad White has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 58.2%.Rachaad White's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a significant progression in his running talent over last year's 30.0 rate.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are giant -13.5-point underdogs.Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to run just 60.0 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.When it comes to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year.With a dreadful tally of 3.28 adjusted yards per carry (7th percentile) this year, Rachaad White has been among the bottom running backs in the league at the position.
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