Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to notch 13.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (51.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (33.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 10th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Rachaad White's running effectiveness (3.72 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (8th percentile among running backs).