Rachaad White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (33.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
Rachaad White has been among the weakest running backs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.16 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.