Rachaad White Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing TD

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+272/-460).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +369 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +272.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be much more involved in his offense's running game near the goal line this week (35.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.7% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated motion in their offense on 45.6% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the least run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 32.1% red zone run rate.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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