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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Rachaad White Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+213/-331).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +283 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +213.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more important option in his offense's run game near the goal line this week (34.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.2% in games he has played).

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the least run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 32.6% red zone run rate.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

The New Orleans Saints defensive ends rank as the 7th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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