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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a stellar 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Rachaad White rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.9 per game) this year.

Rachaad White's 48.4% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a meaningful regression in his pass game workload over last year's 69.7% figure.

The Commanders pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.2%) vs. running backs this year (80.2%).

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