Rachaad White Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rachaad White's 69.8% Route Participation% this year represents a meaningful growth in his passing game workload over last year's 32.7% figure.
The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to accrue 5.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Rachaad White grades out as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 3.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

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