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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Rachaad White comes in as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an impressive 29.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.9 per game) this year.
  • Rachaad White's 48.4% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a meaningful regression in his pass game workload over last year's 69.7% figure.
  • Rachaad White has notched a measly -7.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

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