Rachaad White Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rachaad White has been used more as a potential target this season (70.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (32.7%).
In this week's game, Rachaad White is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.0 targets.

Favors Under

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive blueprint to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 56.7 per game on average).
When it comes to air yards, Rachaad White grades out in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Rachaad White rates as one of the weakest RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

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