Rachaad White Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The Buccaneers rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 67.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Rachaad White has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 20th percentile among RBs.
Rachaad White has been among the worst RBs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 3rd percentile.

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