Rachaad White Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Rachaad White has notched a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Rachaad White has been among the most efficient receivers in the NFL among RBs, averaging an impressive 6.99 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Rachaad White has been among the bottom RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 9th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.