Rachaad White Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 5:21 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-994).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +438 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +436.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 4th-most passing TDs in the NFL to running backs: 0.30 per game this year.
The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Rachaad White grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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