Rachaad White Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
In this contest, Rachaad White is projected by the projection model to land in the 85th percentile among running backs with 15.6 rush attempts.
After taking on 33.7% of his offense's carries last year, Rachaad White has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now making up 55.9%.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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