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Rachaad White

Rachaad White Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • In this contest, Rachaad White is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 17.8 rush attempts.
  • Rachaad White has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (61.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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