Rachaad White Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects Rachaad White to accrue 15.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Rachaad White has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (57.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.7%).
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Indianapolis's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When it comes to opening holes for runners (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.

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