Rachaad White Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The model projects Rachaad White to earn 14.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
After accounting for 33.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Rachaad White has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 58.2%.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are giant -13.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to run just 60.0 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in football.

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