Rachaad White Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Rachaad White

NFL · Player Props

Rachaad White

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Rachaad White Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (46.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (34.0% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 31.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

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