Quez Watkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Quez Watkins has been a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this season (4.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.8%).
Quez Watkins's receiving skills have worsened this year, totaling a measly 1.2 yards per game compared to 2.4 last year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.6%).

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