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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the league (68.8%) to wideouts this year (68.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Quez Watkins's 22.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 36.1.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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