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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Quez Watkins's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.0% to 70.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Quez Watkins's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.1.

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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