Quez Watkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be much more involved in his offense's passing game this week (16.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.2% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Quez Watkins's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 67.0% to 78.8%.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70%) to wide receivers this year (70.0%).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

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