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Quez Watkins
NFL · Player Props
Quez Watkins
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receptions
Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Quez Watkins Receptions

Quez Watkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -240.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Quez Watkins to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Quez Watkins's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 71.3% to 81.9%.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (69.6%) to WRs this year (69.6%).
Favors Under
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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