Quez Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Quez Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Quez Watkins

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Quez Watkins has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Quez Watkins has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing game this year (4.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (13.8%).
Quez Watkins has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

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