Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Favors Under
The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Quez Watkins has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
Quez Watkins's 12.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 33.9.
Quez Watkins has posted significantly fewer receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).